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	<title>Comments on: Betting Progressions: Fool&#8217;s Gold of Gamblers</title>
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	<description>How Card Counting Can Help You Become an Advantage Player in Life</description>
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		<title>By: Mike</title>
		<link>http://www.mikeaponte.com/gambling/betting-progressions-fools-gold-of-gamblers/comment-page-1/#comment-1094</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 24 Oct 2010 03:02:10 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>If the exact normalized count is above -10 always double 11 against a dealers 10...EVERY TIME...If it&#039;s below -10 then hit EVERY TIME don&#039;t deviate.  If you do this you will come out ahead after hours of play.  It&#039;s ok to raise or lower your bets if your on a hot or cold streak but always stick to your numbers from whatever chart you are using.  Those numbers give you the edge not a guarantee.  If your 15% down and hit the 11 at +1 and get a 10 then what?  You just blew the best chance you had at getting back close to even...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If the exact normalized count is above -10 always double 11 against a dealers 10&#8230;EVERY TIME&#8230;If it&#8217;s below -10 then hit EVERY TIME don&#8217;t deviate.  If you do this you will come out ahead after hours of play.  It&#8217;s ok to raise or lower your bets if your on a hot or cold streak but always stick to your numbers from whatever chart you are using.  Those numbers give you the edge not a guarantee.  If your 15% down and hit the 11 at +1 and get a 10 then what?  You just blew the best chance you had at getting back close to even&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: tom beattie</title>
		<link>http://www.mikeaponte.com/gambling/betting-progressions-fools-gold-of-gamblers/comment-page-1/#comment-1089</link>
		<dc:creator>tom beattie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Oct 2010 17:39:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mikeaponte.com/?p=2333#comment-1089</guid>
		<description>I am wrong mathematically in what I am about to say.

I believe that if you are ahead, then riskier plays are better for you to make to win bigger payouts.  If you are behind, then play conservative. (Modifications to basic strategy for the non-counter)

If I am ahead 20% in my session bankroll, and I have 11 against a 10, you can bet I am doubling down.  On the other hand, if I can&#039;t seem to make a double down to save my life, and I am down in my session 15%, I might only hit my 11 against a dealer 10. (assuming the TC is between 1 and -1 or non-counting) While this is not the optimum way to play, as basic strategy math is irrelevant to the win-loss of my session, streaks seem to happen all the time.

Progressive betting, (NOT martingale) has been able to help me win large payouts during good streaks, especially when the TC=+2 or more and running in a favorable streak. I do not double the bet.. but i will move up or down units as determined by the TC or streak. The John Patrick Regressive Betting System has worked great for me..  it reads 3-2-3-3-4-5 and basically causes you to hover around the &#039;win a hand, lose a hand&#039; idea.

This is NOT the right way to play mathematically, however it seems if you land on the right streak you can have a huge win day.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am wrong mathematically in what I am about to say.</p>
<p>I believe that if you are ahead, then riskier plays are better for you to make to win bigger payouts.  If you are behind, then play conservative. (Modifications to basic strategy for the non-counter)</p>
<p>If I am ahead 20% in my session bankroll, and I have 11 against a 10, you can bet I am doubling down.  On the other hand, if I can&#8217;t seem to make a double down to save my life, and I am down in my session 15%, I might only hit my 11 against a dealer 10. (assuming the TC is between 1 and -1 or non-counting) While this is not the optimum way to play, as basic strategy math is irrelevant to the win-loss of my session, streaks seem to happen all the time.</p>
<p>Progressive betting, (NOT martingale) has been able to help me win large payouts during good streaks, especially when the TC=+2 or more and running in a favorable streak. I do not double the bet.. but i will move up or down units as determined by the TC or streak. The John Patrick Regressive Betting System has worked great for me..  it reads 3-2-3-3-4-5 and basically causes you to hover around the &#8216;win a hand, lose a hand&#8217; idea.</p>
<p>This is NOT the right way to play mathematically, however it seems if you land on the right streak you can have a huge win day.</p>
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